Consensus PnL $73K · win rate 98% (3278–70, n=3348) · was PM monthly #470 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$73.0K
Record
3278W / 70L
Win Rate
98.0%
of 3348 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#95
Source
PM monthly #470
Trades
56
Markets
3,391
Volume
$868.0K
Specialties
2,487 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 96¢- Crypto
+13 pts
side won 100% of 42 · avg entry 87¢
ROI +1%
- Soccer
+3 pts
side won 100% of 1193 · avg entry 97¢
ROI +14%
- Esports
+5 pts
side won 99% of 162 · avg entry 95¢
ROI +16%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 1%(won 96% of 23)
- 30–50¢: 0%(won 100% of 8)
- 50–70¢: 2%(won 100% of 38)
- 70¢ and up: 97%(won 100% of 2418)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.