Consensus PnL $344K · win rate 86% (1655–277, n=1932) · was PM monthly #949 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$344.5K
Record
1655W / 277L
Win Rate
86.0%
of 1932 settled
Batting Avg
47.7%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#310
Source
PM monthly #949
Trades
1,152
Markets
2,224
Volume
$25.8M
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 2 on the consensus side (100%)- Swiss Indoors Basel: Jiri Lehecka vs Valentin VacherotValentin Vacherot $1.3K · now 65¢ · in at 32¢with the consensus (43% of 33)
- Brest: Moise Kouame vs Martin DammMoise Kouame $1.3K · now 56¢ · in at 50¢with the consensus (67% of 19)
Specialties
1,747 settled consensus markets · held side won 88% at an average entry of 81¢- Soccer
+7 pts
side won 89% of 1667 · avg entry 81¢
ROI +4%
- Tennis
+14 pts
side won 86% of 58 · avg entry 73¢
ROI +6%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 9%(won 16% of 149)
- 30–50¢: 6%(won 51% of 97)
- 50–70¢: 4%(won 76% of 72)
- 70¢ and up: 82%(won 99% of 1429)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.