Consensus PnL $49K · win rate 53% (37–33, n=70) · PM monthly #912 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$48.9K
Record
37W / 33L
Win Rate
53.0%
of 70 settled
Batting Avg
90.9%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1071
Source
PM monthly #912
Record (90 d)
12/12 · 100%
Trades
98
Markets
71
Volume
$196.2K
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Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- Orleans: Edas Butvilas vs Cosme Rolland De RavelEdas Butvilas $2.5K · now 25¢ · in at 57¢against the consensus (Cosme Rolland De Ravel)
Specialties
41 settled consensus markets · held side won 90% at an average entry of 51¢- Crypto
+34 pts
side won 88% of 16 · avg entry 54¢
ROI +40%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 10%(won 75% of 4)
- 30–50¢: 20%(won 88% of 8)
- 50–70¢: 66%(won 93% of 27)
- 70¢ and up: 5%(won 100% of 2)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.