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29
Consensus PnL $7.0K · win rate 49% (47–48, n=95) · was PM monthly #900 · holds 2 consensus positions
0x29295021...91521dd0Polymarket
⚖️Arb🔄Contrarian🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$7.0K
Record
47W / 48L
Win Rate
49.0%
of 95 settled
Batting Avg
40.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1857
Source
PM monthly #900
Trades
129
Markets
370
Volume
$2.9M
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 2 on the consensus side (100%)- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit $19K · now 94¢ · in at 70¢with the consensus (47% of 81)
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - PARI Universe PlayoffsTeam Yandex $746 · now 22¢ · in at 45¢with the consensus (55% of 35)
Specialties
99 settled consensus markets · held side won 93% at an average entry of 64¢- Esports
+31 pts
side won 94% of 89 · avg entry 63¢
ROI +37%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 4%(won 50% of 4)
- 30–50¢: 26%(won 85% of 26)
- 50–70¢: 30%(won 97% of 30)
- 70¢ and up: 39%(won 100% of 39)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.