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2A
Consensus PnL $9.6K · win rate 79% (425–116, n=541) · PM monthly #904 · holds 3 consensus positions
0x2a28bb9a...86cbff8cPolymarket
🎯Sharp🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$9.6K
Record
425W / 116L
Win Rate
79.0%
of 541 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#460
Source
PM monthly #904
Trades
45
Markets
559
Volume
$406.6K
Top consensus positions
3 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 3 on the consensus side (67%)- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 3 WinnerTeam Yandex $922 · now 0¢ · in at 57¢against the consensus (Team Spirit)
- Spread: Rams (-17.5)Chargers $298 · now 82¢ · in at 82¢with the consensus (100% of 8)
- Chiefs vs. BroncosChiefs $298 · now 51¢ · in at 51¢with the consensus (61% of 20)
Specialties
447 settled consensus markets · held side won 94% at an average entry of 52¢- Esports
+42 pts
side won 94% of 437 · avg entry 52¢
ROI +43%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 2%(won 71% of 7)
- 30–50¢: 26%(won 95% of 117)
- 50–70¢: 72%(won 95% of 320)
- 70¢ and up: 1%(won 100% of 3)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.