Consensus PnL -$8.8K · win rate 55% (577–476, n=1053) · PM monthly #757 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$-8.8K
Record
577W / 476L
Win Rate
55.0%
of 1053 settled
Batting Avg
85.7%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#1505
Source
PM monthly #757
Record (90 d)
495/906 · 55%
Trades
582
Markets
1,197
Volume
$2.1M
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 2 on the consensus side (0%)- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere $5.5K · now 67¢ · in at 22¢against the consensus (Team Falcons)
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group ANatus Vincere $3.5K · now 81¢ · in at 46¢against the consensus (Team Falcons)
Specialties
1,030 settled consensus markets · held side won 54% at an average entry of 53¢- Esports
+2 pts
side won 56% of 915 · avg entry 53¢
ROI +1%
- NBA
+6 pts
side won 57% of 37 · avg entry 51¢
ROI +14%
Weakest: Tennis — held side won 0% of 10 at an average 20¢ entry (−20 pts against the price), ROI −18%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 13%(won 20% of 138)
- 30–50¢: 27%(won 45% of 279)
- 50–70¢: 42%(won 61% of 435)
- 70¢ and up: 17%(won 80% of 178)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.