Consensus PnL $1.9M · win rate 73% (63–23, n=86) · PM monthly #542 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$1.9M
Record
63W / 23L
Win Rate
73.0%
of 86 settled
Batting Avg
52.6%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#470
Source
PM monthly #542
Record (90 d)
20/29 · 69%
Trades
5,433
Markets
417
Volume
$16.4M
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Specialties
70 settled consensus markets · held side won 77% at an average entry of 65¢- MLB
+17 pts
side won 83% of 24 · avg entry 66¢
ROI +19%
- MMA
+14 pts
side won 82% of 22 · avg entry 68¢
ROI +24%
- Soccer
+10 pts
side won 64% of 11 · avg entry 54¢
ROI +10%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 14%(won 10% of 10)
- 30–50¢: 9%(won 67% of 6)
- 50–70¢: 26%(won 78% of 18)
- 70¢ and up: 51%(won 97% of 36)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.