Consensus PnL $43K · win rate 82% (9–2, n=11) · PM monthly #426 · holds 3 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$43.3K
Record
9W / 2L
Win Rate
82.0%
of 11 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#392
Source
PM monthly #426
Trades
27
Markets
14
Volume
$238.6K
Top consensus positions
3 in listed consensus markets · 3 of 3 on the consensus side (100%)- Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes $1.6K · now 4¢ · in at 4¢with the consensus (100% of 9)
- Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes $658 · now 2¢ · in at 1¢with the consensus (86% of 7)
- Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?Yes $421 · now 3¢ · in at 3¢with the consensus (80% of 5)
Specialties
9 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 56¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where Raisuu's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 11%(won 100% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 11%(won 100% of 1)
- 50–70¢: 56%(won 100% of 5)
- 70¢ and up: 22%(won 100% of 2)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.