Consensus PnL $0 · no settled consensus market yet · PM monthly #990 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$0
Record
0W / 0L
Win Rate
—
Batting Avg
—
Win-rate rank
#832
Source
PM monthly #990
Record (90 d)
0/0
Trades
66
Markets
2
Volume
$32.9K
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Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 2 on the consensus side (100%)- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?No $23K · now 97¢ · in at 97¢with the consensus (83% of 60)
- Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes $9.8K · now 98¢ · in at 98¢with the consensus (32% of 22)
Specialties
2 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 99¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where Randomfool's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 0%
- 50–70¢: 0%
- 70¢ and up: 100%(won 100% of 2)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.