Consensus PnL $92K · win rate 64% (1607–912, n=2519) · PM monthly #846 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$92.2K
Record
1607W / 912L
Win Rate
64.0%
of 2519 settled
Batting Avg
64.3%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#964
Source
PM monthly #846
Trades
504
Markets
3,114
Volume
$7.6M
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under $521 · now 48¢ · in at 43¢against the consensus (Over)
Specialties
1,588 settled consensus markets · held side won 89% at an average entry of 77¢- Soccer
+11 pts
side won 89% of 1568 · avg entry 77¢
ROI +7%
- MMA
+23 pts
side won 100% of 19 · avg entry 77¢
ROI +11%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 7%(won 47% of 109)
- 30–50¢: 11%(won 58% of 170)
- 50–70¢: 14%(won 84% of 225)
- 70¢ and up: 68%(won 99% of 1084)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.