Consensus PnL $106K · win rate 79% (22–6, n=28) · was PM monthly #70 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$106.3K
Record
22W / 6L
Win Rate
79.0%
of 28 settled
Batting Avg
—
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#350
Source
PM monthly #70
Record (90 d)
21/21 · 100%
Trades
283
Markets
31
Volume
$7.1M
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Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 2 on the consensus side (100%)- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing PlayoffsPARIVISION $205K · now 63¢ · in at 54¢with the consensus (57% of 59)
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)PARIVISION $45K · now 100¢ · in at 56¢with the consensus (63% of 27)
Specialties
21 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 62¢- Esports
+38 pts
side won 100% of 21 · avg entry 62¢
ROI +34%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 24%(won 100% of 5)
- 50–70¢: 38%(won 100% of 8)
- 70¢ and up: 38%(won 100% of 8)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.