Consensus PnL -$13K · win rate 58% (63–46, n=109) · was PM monthly #891 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$-13.2K
Record
63W / 46L
Win Rate
58.0%
of 109 settled
Batting Avg
100.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#1344
Source
PM monthly #891
Record (90 d)
69/78 · 88%
Trades
35
Markets
129
Volume
$453.5K
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 2 on the consensus side (50%)- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere $2.0K · now 79¢ · in at 70¢with the consensus (62% of 39)
- Dota 2: LEGION vs HULIGANI - Game 2 WinnerLEGION $67 · now 0¢ · in at 31¢against the consensus (HULIGANI)
Specialties
78 settled consensus markets · held side won 88% at an average entry of 70¢- Esports
+18 pts
side won 88% of 77 · avg entry 70¢
ROI +17%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 3%(won 0% of 2)
- 30–50¢: 10%(won 50% of 8)
- 50–70¢: 33%(won 92% of 26)
- 70¢ and up: 54%(won 98% of 42)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.