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Consensus PnL $153K · win rate 77% (107–32, n=139) · PM monthly #258 · holds 3 consensus positions
0x0063b23c...9bd72dd2Polymarket
⚖️Arb🎯Sharp🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$152.9K
Record
107W / 32L
Win Rate
77.0%
of 139 settled
Batting Avg
50.7%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#526
Source
PM monthly #258
Trades
2,233
Markets
2,263
Volume
$9.2M
Top consensus positions
3 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 3 on the consensus side (67%)- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - PARI Universe PlayoffsTeam Spirit $120 · now 81¢ · in at 58¢with the consensus (50% of 39)
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs BESTIA (BO3) - FiReSPORTS Last Chance Playoffs100 Thieves $69 · now 100¢ · in at 86¢with the consensus (73% of 11)
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 3 WinnerTeam Spirit $39 · now 43¢ · in at 45¢against the consensus (Team Yandex)
Specialties
385 settled consensus markets · held side won 98% at an average entry of 77¢- Esports
+20 pts
side won 98% of 385 · avg entry 77¢
ROI −6%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 1%(won 50% of 4)
- 30–50¢: 7%(won 89% of 28)
- 50–70¢: 16%(won 95% of 63)
- 70¢ and up: 75%(won 100% of 290)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.