Consensus PnL $8.6K · win rate 47% (107–121, n=228) · PM monthly #824 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$8.6K
Record
107W / 121L
Win Rate
47.0%
of 228 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#2115
Source
PM monthly #824
Record (90 d)
107/131 · 82%
Trades
1
Markets
231
Volume
$389.3K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons $1.7K · now 21¢ · in at 34¢against the consensus (Natus Vincere)
Specialties
127 settled consensus markets · held side won 82% at an average entry of 46¢- Esports
+48 pts
side won 91% of 80 · avg entry 43¢
ROI +54%
- NBA
+29 pts
side won 74% of 23 · avg entry 45¢
ROI +29%
Weakest: Crypto — held side won 55% of 22 at an average 57¢ entry (−2 pts against the price), ROI −6%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 9%(won 67% of 12)
- 30–50¢: 54%(won 84% of 69)
- 50–70¢: 33%(won 81% of 42)
- 70¢ and up: 3%(won 100% of 4)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.