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30
Consensus PnL $764K · win rate 54% (793–681, n=1474) · PM monthly #246 · holds 3 consensus positions
0x30c7ac01...d036ac3bPolymarket
🔄Contrarian🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$764.2K
Record
793W / 681L
Win Rate
54.0%
of 1474 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1495
Source
PM monthly #246
Trades
224
Markets
1,512
Volume
$14.4M
Top consensus positions
3 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 3 on the consensus side (33%)- Counter-Strike: naocopulas vs Low Cortisol (BO3) - Gamers Club Masters Playoffsnaocopulas $2.9K · now 14¢ · in at 35¢against the consensus (Low Cortisol)
- Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs Imperial (BO5) - Gamers Club Masters PlayoffsImperial $1.0K · now 42¢ · in at 41¢with the consensus (80% of 5)
- Counter-Strike: WBT Academy vs Iberian Soul (BO3) - Circuito Retake PlayoffsWBT Academy $65 · now 100¢ · in at 24¢against the consensus (Iberian Soul)
Specialties
1,410 settled consensus markets · held side won 54% at an average entry of 52¢- Esports
+2 pts
side won 54% of 1410 · avg entry 52¢
ROI +4%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 7%(won 21% of 104)
- 30–50¢: 37%(won 45% of 516)
- 50–70¢: 44%(won 59% of 617)
- 70¢ and up: 12%(won 86% of 173)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.