Consensus PnL $279K · win rate 53% (938–818, n=1756) · PM monthly #109 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$279.0K
Record
938W / 818L
Win Rate
53.0%
of 1756 settled
Batting Avg
80.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1628
Source
PM monthly #109
Record (90 d)
237/250 · 95%
Trades
1,566
Markets
2,007
Volume
$18.5M
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TYLOO (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group BTYLOO $1.0K · now 10¢ · in at 10¢against the consensus (MOUZ)
Specialties
1,354 settled consensus markets · held side won 76% at an average entry of 56¢- Esports
+28 pts
side won 86% of 822 · avg entry 58¢
ROI +30%
- Soccer
+12 pts
side won 78% of 89 · avg entry 65¢
ROI +18%
- NBA
+5 pts
side won 56% of 436 · avg entry 51¢
ROI +2%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 8%(won 37% of 108)
- 30–50¢: 27%(won 69% of 369)
- 50–70¢: 38%(won 77% of 515)
- 70¢ and up: 27%(won 94% of 362)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.