Consensus PnL -$56K · win rate 80% (202–50, n=252) · PM monthly #502 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-56.1K
Record
202W / 50L
Win Rate
80.0%
of 252 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#337
Source
PM monthly #502
Record (90 d)
203/205 · 99%
Trades
186
Markets
293
Volume
$1.6M
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Specialties
196 settled consensus markets · held side won 99% at an average entry of 61¢- NFL
+47 pts
side won 100% of 30 · avg entry 53¢
ROI +49%
- Esports
+51 pts
side won 100% of 13 · avg entry 49¢
ROI +52%
- MLB
+33 pts
side won 100% of 55 · avg entry 67¢
ROI +32%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 6%(won 100% of 11)
- 30–50¢: 30%(won 97% of 59)
- 50–70¢: 24%(won 100% of 48)
- 70¢ and up: 40%(won 100% of 78)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.