Consensus PnL $84K · win rate 58% (1026–736, n=1762) · PM monthly #669 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$83.5K
Record
1026W / 736L
Win Rate
58.0%
of 1762 settled
Batting Avg
33.3%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1274
Source
PM monthly #669
Trades
1,098
Markets
2,655
Volume
$3.5M
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 0.5Over $737 · now 100¢ · in at 99¢with the consensus (45% of 12)
Specialties
1,430 settled consensus markets · held side won 62% at an average entry of 58¢- Soccer
+4 pts
side won 63% of 1306 · avg entry 58¢
ROI +3%
- Esports
+7 pts
side won 60% of 120 · avg entry 53¢
ROI +3%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 29%(won 11% of 414)
- 30–50¢: 10%(won 36% of 150)
- 50–70¢: 14%(won 74% of 199)
- 70¢ and up: 47%(won 97% of 667)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.