Consensus PnL $125K · win rate 15% (2–11, n=13) · PM monthly #163 · holds 3 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$125.3K
Record
2W / 11L
Win Rate
15.0%
of 13 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#2245
Source
PM monthly #163
Trades
156
Markets
23
Volume
$261.3K
Top consensus positions
3 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 3 on the consensus side (67%)- Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes $4.8K · now 12¢ · in at 17¢with the consensus (84% of 20)
- Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes $850 · now 2¢ · in at 1¢with the consensus (86% of 21)
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes $126 · now 3¢ · in at 5¢against the consensus (No)
Specialties
19 settled consensus markets · held side won 11% at an average entry of 20¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where bisouss's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Weakest: Crypto — held side won 10% of 10 at an average 25¢ entry (−15 pts against the price), ROI 0%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 74%(won 0% of 14)
- 30–50¢: 16%(won 0% of 3)
- 50–70¢: 5%(won 100% of 1)
- 70¢ and up: 5%(won 100% of 1)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.