Consensus PnL $281K · win rate 95% (18–1, n=19) · PM monthly #311 · holds 3 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$281.0K
Record
18W / 1L
Win Rate
95.0%
of 19 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#162
Source
PM monthly #311
Trades
9
Markets
24
Volume
$672.0K
Top consensus positions
3 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 3 on the consensus side (67%)- Oilers vs. RangersOilers $13K · now 46¢ · in at 46¢with the consensus (42% of 12)
- Clippers vs. WarriorsWarriors $2.9K · now 54¢ · in at 54¢against the consensus (Clippers)
- Raptors vs. LakersLakers $253 · now 57¢ · in at 62¢with the consensus (56% of 18)
Specialties
19 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 53¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where btmx6's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 63%(won 100% of 12)
- 50–70¢: 26%(won 100% of 5)
- 70¢ and up: 11%(won 100% of 2)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.