Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465fantasy7788Flaznorp
Record (consensus markets)no settled market47% (62–70, n=132)43% (3–4, n=7)75% (741–246, n=987)
Consensus PnL—-$493K$421K$70K
Tracked as—PM monthly #11PM monthly #48PM monthly #14
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position38% (3 of 8 open)no open consensus position68% (88 of 130 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +37 pts n=16, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———Soccer −8 pts, n=40
Settled positions, side won—97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35%100% of 3 at avg 56¢, ROI +49%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%
Entries under 30¢—1% (won 0% of 1)0%34% (won 10% of 30)
Entries 30–50¢—25% (won 94% of 17)33% (won 100% of 1)19% (won 29% of 17)
Entries 50–70¢—49% (won 100% of 33)67% (won 100% of 2)13% (won 55% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up—24% (won 100% of 16)0%34% (won 83% of 30)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo000x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465fantasy7788Flaznorp
Dartmouth Big Green vs. Albany Great Danes
same side · consensus Dartmouth Big Green
—Dartmouth Big Green $2.0K—Dartmouth Big Green $424
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
—Vikings $93—Vikings $6