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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677ppku6298
Record (consensus markets)no settled market47% (64–71, n=135)no settled market38% (5–8, n=13)
Consensus PnL—-$420K—-$15K
Tracked as—PM monthly #10PM monthly #6PM monthly #398
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position56% (5 of 9 open)no open consensus position33% (1 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +35 pts n=17, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36%62% of 13 at avg 59¢, ROI +33%100% of 3 at avg 49¢, ROI +50%
Entries under 30¢—3% (won 50% of 2)8% (won 0% of 1)0%
Entries 30–50¢—26% (won 95% of 19)8% (won 0% of 1)33% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢—46% (won 100% of 33)69% (won 67% of 9)67% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 70¢ and up—25% (won 100% of 18)15% (won 100% of 2)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.