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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ndb1northdrawer
Record (consensus markets)no settled market47% (59–67, n=126)no settled market85% (17–3, n=20)
Consensus PnL—-$296K$2-$494
Tracked as—PM monthly #9PM monthly #151PM monthly #133
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position63% (5 of 8 open)100% (1 of 1 open)92% (291 of 316 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +37 pts n=16, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———Economy −7 pts, n=13
Settled positions, side won—97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35%50% of 2 at avg 19¢, ROI +9%91% of 156 at avg 92¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢—1% (won 0% of 1)100% (won 50% of 2)5% (won 0% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢—25% (won 94% of 17)0%2% (won 33% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢—49% (won 100% of 33)0%3% (won 50% of 4)
Entries 70¢ and up—24% (won 100% of 16)0%90% (won 99% of 141)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.