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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x952718dF56Ab7955E0A0121a9E47fa8f52B6888b-1787761374187BreakTheBankjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)75% (6–2, n=8)13% (876–5965, n=6841)45% (542–652, n=1194)53% (10–9, n=19)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$1.9K$11.1M$5.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #19was PM monthly #926PM monthly #1PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position25% (1 of 4 open)73% (124 of 170 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=139, ROI +49%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic—Tennis −3 pts, n=514——
Settled positions, side won86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%13% of 3633 at avg 14¢, ROI −1%97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢0%82% (won 3% of 2987)10% (won 79% of 58)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢0%8% (won 35% of 283)36% (won 98% of 200)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢100% (won 86% of 7)5% (won 64% of 188)35% (won 99% of 194)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up0%5% (won 83% of 175)19% (won 100% of 107)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.