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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00joseph00677ndb1northdrawer
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (10–12, n=22)63% (987–572, n=1559)55% (11642–9344, n=20986)
Consensus PnL—$5.3M$3.2M-$182K
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #102PM monthly #112
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position75% (100 of 134 open)74% (152 of 206 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——NFL −9 pts, n=139Soccer −3 pts, n=341
Settled positions, side won—59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%39% of 5489 at avg 42¢, ROI −2%
Entries under 30¢—12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 15% of 168)57% (won 0% of 3123)
Entries 30–50¢—6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 39% of 256)2% (won 46% of 134)
Entries 50–70¢—65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 58% of 314)4% (won 61% of 222)
Entries 70¢ and up—18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 550)37% (won 96% of 2010)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo00joseph00677ndb1northdrawer
Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.0KNo $286