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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | cryingbabydicer87 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4537–3326, n=7863) | 47% (6877–7776, n=14653) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | $20K | $5.3M | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #699 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #97 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (15 of 25 open) | 85% (105 of 124 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (54 of 74 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | Crypto −2 pts, n=4119 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=144 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 51% of 4495 at avg 52¢, ROI 0% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 41% (won 8% of 1854) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 15% of 186) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1746) | 13% (won 39% of 584) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 19% (won 39% of 267) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2085) | 8% (won 71% of 369) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 23% (won 58% of 326) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2120) | 38% (won 97% of 1688) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 44% (won 94% of 619) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
11 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.