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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x46072f22bC5624f7Ff43489d570FDc7e745Ad542-1774720903403beachboy400gringo00joseph00677
Record (consensus markets)58% (122–89, n=211)68% (43–20, n=63)75% (6–2, n=8)50% (10–10, n=20)
Consensus PnL$53K$5.8M$3.5M$5.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #579was PM monthly #24was PM monthly #19PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +40 pts n=121, ROI +43%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=93——
Settled positions, side won98% of 123 at avg 58¢, ROI +43%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 83% of 6)3% (won 17% of 6)0%12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 100% of 29)30% (won 57% of 63)0%6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢50% (won 100% of 62)54% (won 51% of 115)100% (won 86% of 7)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up21% (won 96% of 26)14% (won 86% of 29)0%18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.