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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5095e97281f28d4d8549fd3834802c24cbb793endb1joseph00677
Record (consensus markets)50% (170–171, n=341)65% (862–456, n=1318)53% (10–9, n=19)
Consensus PnL$108K$4.1M$5.6M
Tracked asHand-pickedPM monthly #69PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus100% (2 of 2 open)68% (48 of 71 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
Weakest topicMentions −8 pts, n=32NFL −10 pts, n=132—
Settled positions, side won58% of 380 at avg 48¢, ROI +9%64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢37% (won 17% of 140)13% (won 16% of 160)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢15% (won 50% of 56)20% (won 39% of 252)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢13% (won 90% of 50)24% (won 57% of 306)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up35% (won 93% of 134)43% (won 93% of 540)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.