Consensus PnL $108K · win rate 50% (170–171, n=341) · hand-picked wallet · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$107.6K
Record
170W / 171L
Win Rate
50.0%
of 341 settled
Batting Avg
49.7%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1886
Source
Hand-picked
Trades
10,540
Markets
599
Volume
$1.0M
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 2 on the consensus side (100%)- Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m?Yes $501 · now 50¢ · in at 65¢with the consensus (57% of 7)
- Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?No $235 · now 100¢ · in at 89¢with the consensus (57% of 7)
Specialties
380 settled consensus markets · held side won 58% at an average entry of 48¢- Entertainment
+13 pts
side won 62% of 314 · avg entry 49¢
ROI +11%
Weakest: Mentions — held side won 28% of 32 at an average 36¢ entry (−8 pts against the price), ROI −5%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 37%(won 17% of 140)
- 30–50¢: 15%(won 50% of 56)
- 50–70¢: 13%(won 90% of 50)
- 70¢ and up: 35%(won 93% of 134)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.