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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x952718dF56Ab7955E0A0121a9E47fa8f52B6888b-1787761374187joseph00677beachboy4
Record (consensus markets)12% (689–4967, n=5656)50% (10–10, n=20)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$4.1K$5.3M$5.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #926PM monthly #2was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus33% (1 of 3 open)no open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicTennis −3 pts, n=481—NBA −6 pts, n=93
Settled positions, side won13% of 3119 at avg 15¢, ROI −1%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢81% (won 3% of 2537)12% (won 0% of 2)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢8% (won 35% of 260)6% (won 0% of 1)30% (won 57% of 63)
Entries 50–70¢5% (won 65% of 166)65% (won 73% of 11)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 82% of 156)18% (won 67% of 3)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.