Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xC9BFc7986767173b4f1c3FC9B2c6b255F0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816RN1
Record (consensus markets)53% (152–135, n=287)61% (495–320, n=815)47% (13868–15346, n=29214)
Consensus PnL$225K$4.8M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #50was PM monthly #51PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 3 open)64% (7 of 11 open)94% (15 of 16 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicEsports ±0 pts, n=255Soccer ±0 pts, n=115—
Settled positions, side won52% of 255 at avg 52¢, ROI +10%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 29% of 14)15% (won 29% of 125)10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢45% (won 42% of 115)34% (won 58% of 283)22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢34% (won 59% of 87)43% (won 69% of 354)36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up15% (won 74% of 39)7% (won 80% of 60)32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.