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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xDd9D902e3Cdaf7eE29Eff1Dd2902DcB40741b730-177259790758400gringo00joseph00677pleaseplease123
Record (consensus markets)62% (189–114, n=303)75% (6–2, n=8)50% (10–10, n=20)49% (345–353, n=698)
Consensus PnL$93K$3.5M$5.3M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #324was PM monthly #19PM monthly #2was PM monthly #92
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +36 pts n=21, ROI +30%
  • Tennis +25 pts n=87, ROI +15%
  • MMA +21 pts n=39, ROI +11%
none with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———MLB −1 pts, n=694
Settled positions, side won77% of 243 at avg 53¢, ROI +14%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%49% of 694 at avg 51¢, ROI −1%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 75% of 4)0%12% (won 0% of 2)0% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢37% (won 77% of 91)0%6% (won 0% of 1)38% (won 43% of 266)
Entries 50–70¢52% (won 74% of 126)100% (won 86% of 7)65% (won 73% of 11)61% (won 54% of 426)
Entries 70¢ and up9% (won 91% of 22)0%18% (won 67% of 3)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.