Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335joseph00677keeptheblueflagflyinghighndb1
Record (consensus markets)75% (218–74, n=292)no settled market44% (193–241, n=434)no settled market
Consensus PnL$2.7K—$16K$2
Tracked asPM monthly #954PM monthly #6PM monthly #45PM monthly #151
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position59% (10 of 17 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicCrypto −4 pts, n=100———
Settled positions, side won42% of 100 at avg 46¢, ROI −1%62% of 13 at avg 59¢, ROI +33%100% of 134 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%50% of 2 at avg 19¢, ROI +9%
Entries under 30¢30% (won 7% of 30)8% (won 0% of 1)5% (won 100% of 7)100% (won 50% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢27% (won 15% of 27)8% (won 0% of 1)38% (won 100% of 51)0%
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 71% of 24)69% (won 67% of 9)50% (won 100% of 67)0%
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 19)15% (won 100% of 2)7% (won 100% of 9)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.