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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AppleTiiimejoseph006770xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)58% (7–5, n=12)53% (10–9, n=19)61% (495–321, n=816)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$4.3K$5.6M-$352K$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #395PM monthly #2was PM monthly #51was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus100% (6 of 6 open)no open consensus position75% (6 of 8 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Soccer ±0 pts, n=115—
Settled positions, side won55% of 11 at avg 45¢, ROI +5%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 100% of 1)12% (won 0% of 2)15% (won 29% of 125)0%
Entries 30–50¢55% (won 50% of 6)6% (won 0% of 1)34% (won 58% of 283)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 50% of 4)65% (won 73% of 11)43% (won 69% of 354)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up0%18% (won 67% of 3)7% (won 80% of 60)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.