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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Eulhunterjoseph00677beachboy40x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188
Record (consensus markets)54% (699–597, n=1296)50% (10–10, n=20)68% (43–20, n=63)46% (131–154, n=285)
Consensus PnL$271K$5.3M$5.8M$19.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #340PM monthly #2was PM monthly #24was PM monthly #715
Sides with the consensus71% (5 of 7 open)no open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%
Weakest topic——NBA −6 pts, n=93College Basketball −12 pts, n=174
Settled positions, side won61% of 754 at avg 59¢, ROI +6%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%
Entries under 30¢27% (won 4% of 204)12% (won 0% of 2)3% (won 17% of 6)0% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 23% of 83)6% (won 0% of 1)30% (won 57% of 63)42% (won 46% of 565)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 66% of 94)65% (won 73% of 11)54% (won 51% of 115)57% (won 51% of 766)
Entries 70¢ and up49% (won 99% of 373)18% (won 67% of 3)14% (won 86% of 29)0% (won 100% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.