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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FinHealBreakTheBank0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816joseph00677
Record (consensus markets)60% (1058–705, n=1763)45% (542–652, n=1194)61% (495–321, n=816)53% (10–9, n=19)
Consensus PnL$3.9K$11.0M-$352K$5.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #970PM monthly #1was PM monthly #51PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)86% (134 of 156 open)75% (6 of 8 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicSoccer −5 pts, n=189—Soccer ±0 pts, n=115—
Settled positions, side won52% of 1429 at avg 54¢, ROI −1%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢35% (won 5% of 506)10% (won 82% of 56)15% (won 29% of 125)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢9% (won 33% of 126)36% (won 98% of 198)34% (won 58% of 283)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 56% of 163)35% (won 99% of 191)43% (won 69% of 354)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up44% (won 92% of 634)19% (won 100% of 107)7% (won 80% of 60)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.