← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| NotJump | BreakTheBank | pleaseplease123 | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 34% (3243–6180, n=9423) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 49% (346–353, n=699) | 61% (495–321, n=816) |
| Consensus PnL | -$39K | $11.0M | -$857K | -$352K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #963 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #92 | was PM monthly #51 |
| Sides with the consensus | 74% (14 of 19 open) | 87% (143 of 164 open) | no open consensus position | 72% (13 of 18 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | MLB −31 pts, n=51 | — | MLB −1 pts, n=694 | Soccer ±0 pts, n=115 |
| Settled positions, side won | 34% of 4267 at avg 45¢, ROI −9% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 49% of 694 at avg 51¢, ROI −1% | 60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 38% (won 4% of 1603) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% (won 0% of 2) | 15% (won 29% of 125) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 20% of 790) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 38% (won 43% of 266) | 34% (won 58% of 283) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 20% (won 43% of 856) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 61% (won 54% of 426) | 43% (won 69% of 354) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 86% of 1018) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 7% (won 80% of 60) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | NotJump | BreakTheBank | pleaseplease123 | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bratislava 2: Luka Pavlovic vs Alexander Shevchenko same side · consensus Alexander Shevchenko | Alexander Shevchenko $228 | — | — | Alexander Shevchenko $2.3K |