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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Oddstormsurfandturfjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)49% (5753–5975, n=11728)52% (273–252, n=525)50% (10–10, n=20)
Consensus PnL$23K$4.1M$5.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #921was PM monthly #326PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus42% (8 of 19 open)50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • MMA +4 pts n=148, ROI +10%
  • NBA +4 pts n=76, ROI +12%
Weakest topicMLB −3 pts, n=743NFL −11 pts, n=58—
Settled positions, side won49% of 7560 at avg 49¢, ROI +1%53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢18% (won 19% of 1334)20% (won 12% of 109)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 43% of 2720)21% (won 46% of 114)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢31% (won 57% of 2376)33% (won 60% of 176)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up15% (won 81% of 1130)26% (won 82% of 137)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.