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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
SPLPB0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
Record (consensus markets)15% (360–2016, n=2376)61% (495–320, n=815)
Consensus PnL$22K$4.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #408was PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensus66% (49 of 74 open)57% (4 of 7 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicEntertainment −16 pts, n=87Soccer ±0 pts, n=115
Settled positions, side won23% of 1578 at avg 28¢, ROI −2%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢66% (won 3% of 1041)15% (won 29% of 125)
Entries 30–50¢8% (won 27% of 120)34% (won 58% of 283)
Entries 50–70¢7% (won 50% of 114)43% (won 69% of 354)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 82% of 303)7% (won 80% of 60)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.