SPLPB

Consensus PnL $22K · win rate 15% (357–1999, n=2356) · PM monthly #408 · holds 76 consensus positions

0xdf0e455c...bb38c02bPolymarket

⚖️Arb🔄Contrarian🎰Degen

Consensus PnL

$21.8K

Record

357W / 1999L

Win Rate

15.0%

of 2356 settled

Batting Avg

13.9%

Status

Profitable

Win-rate rank

#2613

Source

PM monthly #408

Record (90 d)

311/1506 · 21%

Trades

1,294

Markets

3,879

Volume

$2.8M

Top consensus positions

76 in listed consensus markets · 52 of 76 on the consensus side (68%)

Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?No $1.3K · now 92¢ · in at 91¢with the consensus (19% of 26)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?Yes $776 · now 70¢ · in at 70¢with the consensus (75% of 20)
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?No $483 · now 67¢ · in at 72¢with the consensus (59% of 28)
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?Yes $210 · now 59¢ · in at 59¢with the consensus (57% of 14)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 12%-15%?Yes $86 · now 28¢ · in at 33¢against the consensus (No)
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?No $79 · now 59¢ · in at 61¢with the consensus (50% of 14)
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes $72 · now 38¢ · in at 37¢with the consensus (72% of 67)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 0%-3%?No $52 · now 75¢ · in at 76¢with the consensus (57% of 7)