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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ferdinand2 | joseph00677 | pleaseplease123 | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (647–656, n=1303) | 50% (10–10, n=20) | 49% (345–353, n=698) | 61% (495–320, n=815) |
| Consensus PnL | $63K | $5.3M | $3.2M | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #491 | PM monthly #2 | was PM monthly #92 | was PM monthly #51 |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (42 of 75 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 57% (4 of 7 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | Soccer −3 pts, n=419 | — | MLB −1 pts, n=694 | Soccer ±0 pts, n=115 |
| Settled positions, side won | 51% of 554 at avg 52¢, ROI +3% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 49% of 694 at avg 51¢, ROI −1% | 60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 24% (won 5% of 131) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 0% (won 0% of 2) | 15% (won 29% of 125) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 39% of 132) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 38% (won 43% of 266) | 34% (won 58% of 283) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 64% of 130) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 61% (won 54% of 426) | 43% (won 69% of 354) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 29% (won 88% of 161) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 0% | 7% (won 80% of 60) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ferdinand2 | joseph00677 | pleaseplease123 | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz opposite sides · consensus Hubert Hurkacz | Lorenzo Musetti $4 | — | — | Hubert Hurkacz $1.2K |