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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| forgotmydinner | joseph00677 | ndb1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 29% (62–155, n=217) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 66% (875–457, n=1332) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $102K | $5.6M | $4.1M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #64 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #22 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 66% (75 of 114 open) | no open consensus position | 72% (96 of 134 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NBA ±0 pts, n=10 | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 20% of 173 at avg 14¢, ROI +19% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 85% (won 7% of 147) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 71% of 7) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 252) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 2% (won 100% of 4) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 57% of 306) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 9% (won 100% of 15) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 540) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.