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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
god83743894joseph00677ndb1
Record (consensus markets)27% (3388–9052, n=12440)45% (10–12, n=22)63% (987–572, n=1559)
Consensus PnL-$133K$5.3M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #237PM monthly #2PM monthly #102
Sides with the consensus70% (241 of 343 open)no open consensus position75% (100 of 134 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +2 pts n=42, ROI +2%
Weakest topicWeather −7 pts, n=5548—NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won28% of 8247 at avg 33¢, ROI −5%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢69% (won 1% of 5687)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢2% (won 40% of 158)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢3% (won 54% of 213)65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 96% of 2189)18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketgod83743894joseph00677ndb1
Will Paris Saint-Germain finish first in UCL league phase?
same side · consensus No
No $46—No $33