Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
joseph00677quietparcel
Record (consensus markets)53% (10–9, n=19)44% (6093–7691, n=13784)
Consensus PnL$5.6M$34K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #230
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position84% (222 of 263 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Mentions −4 pts, n=594
Settled positions, side won59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%36% of 5067 at avg 39¢, ROI −2%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 2)60% (won 1% of 3032)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 0% of 1)2% (won 35% of 106)
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 73% of 11)4% (won 60% of 183)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 67% of 3)34% (won 96% of 1746)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.