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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ndb1Noha13sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)66% (875–459, n=1334)54% (55–47, n=102)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$28K$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #25PM monthly #718was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus70% (30 of 43 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Esports +7 pts n=58, ROI +13%
  • NBA +12 pts n=20, ROI +20%
  • MLB +7 pts n=12, ROI +3%
Weakest topicNFL −10 pts, n=132——
Settled positions, side won64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%55% of 100 at avg 48¢, ROI +12%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 16% of 160)7% (won 29% of 7)0%
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 40% of 253)37% (won 54% of 37)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 57% of 310)56% (won 59% of 56)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 93% of 544)0%0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.