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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ndb1pollo07
Record (consensus markets)66% (875–459, n=1334)36% (273–483, n=756)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$89K
Tracked asPM monthly #24PM monthly #78
Sides with the consensus70% (30 of 43 open)87% (20 of 23 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNFL −10 pts, n=132Elections −2 pts, n=89
Settled positions, side won64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%45% of 439 at avg 46¢, ROI +7%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 16% of 160)52% (won 1% of 227)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 40% of 253)3% (won 45% of 11)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 57% of 310)2% (won 38% of 8)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 93% of 544)44% (won 96% of 193)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.