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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
yabancibeachboy40x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)54% (67–56, n=123)68% (43–20, n=63)46% (131–154, n=285)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL-$84K$5.8M-$6.6M$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #203was PM monthly #24was PM monthly #715was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +24 pts n=14, ROI +19%
  • NHL +8 pts n=18, ROI +26%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%
Weakest topicNBA −2 pts, n=35NBA −6 pts, n=93College Basketball −12 pts, n=174—
Settled positions, side won55% of 113 at avg 51¢, ROI +2%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 29% of 7)3% (won 17% of 6)0% (won 17% of 6)0%
Entries 30–50¢44% (won 40% of 50)30% (won 57% of 63)42% (won 46% of 565)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 71% of 45)54% (won 51% of 115)57% (won 51% of 766)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up10% (won 73% of 11)14% (won 86% of 29)0% (won 100% of 4)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.