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9E
Consensus PnL -$207K · win rate 71% (30–12, n=42) · was PM monthly #82 · holds 3 consensus positions
0x9ee49c02...36b8697bPolymarket
🐋Whale🎯Sharp🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$-206.5K
Record
30W / 12L
Win Rate
71.0%
of 42 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#716
Source
PM monthly #82
Trades
39
Markets
49
Volume
$6.8M
Top consensus positions
3 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 3 on the consensus side (67%)- Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East?Yes $94K · now 47¢ · in at 49¢with the consensus (50% of 6)
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes $72K · now 36¢ · in at 48¢against the consensus (No)
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?No $5.9K · now 84¢ · in at 63¢with the consensus (67% of 18)
Specialties
40 settled consensus markets · held side won 80% at an average entry of 74¢- NFL
+8 pts
side won 86% of 28 · avg entry 77¢
ROI −2%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 3%(won 0% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 0%
- 50–70¢: 38%(won 67% of 15)
- 70¢ and up: 60%(won 92% of 24)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.