Consensus PnL $38K · win rate 48% (25–27, n=52) · PM monthly #642 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$38.3K
Record
25W / 27L
Win Rate
48.0%
of 52 settled
Batting Avg
83.3%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1285
Source
PM monthly #642
Record (90 d)
22/25 · 88%
Trades
90
Markets
53
Volume
$218.4K
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Specialties
41 settled consensus markets · held side won 59% at an average entry of 47¢- Esports
+33 pts
side won 87% of 23 · avg entry 54¢
ROI +34%
Weakest: Soccer — held side won 18% of 17 at an average 35¢ entry (−18 pts against the price), ROI −26%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 27%(won 27% of 11)
- 30–50¢: 24%(won 60% of 10)
- 50–70¢: 37%(won 67% of 15)
- 70¢ and up: 12%(won 100% of 5)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.