Back to Traders
Consensus PnL -$66K · win rate 60% (98–65, n=163) · was PM monthly #578 · holds 2 consensus positions
0xe0a47e7e...e901a81ePolymarket
🔄Contrarian🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$-65.8K
Record
98W / 65L
Win Rate
60.0%
of 163 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#1172
Source
PM monthly #578
Trades
26
Markets
168
Volume
$654.8K
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 2 on the consensus side (0%)- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTeam Yandex $305 · now 3¢ · in at 55¢against the consensus (Team Spirit)
- Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes $174 · now 1¢ · in at 32¢against the consensus (No)
Specialties
99 settled consensus markets · held side won 97% at an average entry of 62¢- Esports
+36 pts
side won 98% of 91 · avg entry 62¢
ROI +33%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 1%(won 0% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 13%(won 100% of 13)
- 50–70¢: 63%(won 98% of 62)
- 70¢ and up: 23%(won 96% of 23)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.